More conventional wisdom ...3:37 pm
Just a note: Democratic strategist and Clintonista James Carville is out there criticizing the first night of the Democrat Convention:
“You haven’t heard about Iraq or John McCain or George W. Bush — I haven’t heard any of this. We are a country that is in a borderline recession, we are an 80 percent wrong-track country. Health care, energy — I haven’t heard anything about gas prices,” Carville also says. “Maybe we are going to look better Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. But right now, we’re playing hide the message.”
Carville also said the party needs to do a better job of communicating its message to the American people.
“If this party has a message it’s done a hell of a job hiding it tonight, I promise you that,” he said.
What James Carville is doing is setting the table for Hillary Clinton. Hillary can come out tonight and deliver a barn-storming, stem-winding, roof-raising, Bush-bashing speech that tickles all the erogenous zones of those zany Democrat conventioneers. They will be saying to themselves, “Carville was right! The first night of the Obama convention was a total waste of time! This [the first night of the Clinton convention] is the kind of stuff we really want!” Such a performance will, for many of those conventioneers, induce buyer’s remorse to the tenth power (especially with all of these relentlessly declining poll numbers for Obama). And that will suit Hillary just fine.
…
Addendum: OK, it wasn’t exactly as anticipated above. Hillary would have done better to take RWB’s advice, but she was — typically — trying to cover too many bases. There are reasons she lost the nomination.
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Some conventional wisdom ...12:01 pm
Yours-truly returned from travels just in time to turn on the TV and catch some of yesterday’s goings-on at the Democrat convention. I may disagree with him on just about everything, but God bless ol’ Teddy Kennedy — one must assume it was an heroic and Herculean effort for him to get out there and make his speech despite his terrible illness. Michelle Obama’s speech was just the inoffensive goop she needed to wallow in, and it was written competently for her.
As of the morning news shows today, last night’s feel-good kick-off was already well over (did it even really happen?) and the 2008 Clinton National Convention had well and truly begun. What will Hillary Clinton say today? What will Bill Clinton say tomorrow? It’s all anyone wants to know. (Oh, and there’s some curiosity as to whether that Barack Obama guy will be able to pick up the pieces on Thursday.) With Obama’s pick of Joe Biden merely greasing the slide for his poll numbers, no Republican could have scripted a better slow-motion disaster for the Democrats than the one currently unfolding. It’s rather mind-boggling.
It must be clear to everyone that Obama made a huge error in not confronting and frankly slapping down the Clintons before now. He thought that by being accommodating he could avoid a damaging fight at the convention. So, he gave the Clintons everything they wanted (roll call vote, prime time speeches on successive nights, paying off their debt) and in return they are still effectively fighting him at every step and keeping a stopper firmly clamped on the bottle of goodwill from which he so desperately seeks to drink. He’d have been better off showing strength by saying to the Clintons weeks ago: “Listen. I won. You lost. Get it through your heads and get in line or I’ll see to it that you’re declared to be disloyal to the Democratic party and cast out into the darkness.” Sure, he would have lost a lot of Hillary voters — but he’s losing plenty in the current scenario anyway. On the other hand, he would have gained a stature that would have helped him garner votes across the board.
Joe Biden is a VP pick who does nothing for Obama other than highlight his deficiencies. It smells of being a pick by committee, where Biden was the one left after others were ruled out for this reason or that, and it speaks of weakness more than anything else.
McCain is now perched in the catbird seat. Where Obama faces a divided and nervous Democratic convention, McCain has the opportunity to capitalize on recent progress with the Republican base, and create a huge bubble of G.O.P. enthusiasm by picking a solid conservative running mate. If he does that, then I believe this election will officially be his to lose (and he will not be likely to lose it). If he goes the other way, in a mistaken effort to “reach out” to liberals and alleged moderates, then the election will remain a toss-up. Picking a solid conservative running mate will do two big things for McCain: (1) Give the conservative base and the evangelicals a reason to get out and vote big in November and (2) fire up the kinds of grassroots people needed to organize and get the vote out. Couple that with the way the polls have been moving towards McCain anyway, and you’d have to see a huge perception-shifting event for McCain to lose this election.
Take away that enthusiasm from the base, however (as with a pro-choice VP pick) and you can start to see problems with McCain’s turn-out in November. In such a scenario, if Obama’s and the DNC’s organizing is very strong — and there’s every reason to think it will be — then it could well win him the presidency.
For now, in any case, let all the partying continue in Denver.
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Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Odds & Ends ...11:25 pm
Same ol’ same ol’: In Britain, a real estate investment firm named Brixton issued a report which quotes a verse from Bob Dylan’s All Along the Watchtower to illustrate how tough the commercial property market is at the moment.
“The apocalyptic opening lines of Bob Dylan’s ‘All Along the Watchtower’ seem to capture the beleaguered mindset of the UK commercial real estate market:
‘There must be some way out of here
Said the joker to the thief
There’s too much confusion
I can’t get no relief
Businessmen they drink my wine
Ploughmen dig my earth
None of them along the line
Know what any of it is worth’”[...]
“There is no real depth of evidence of willing buyers and sellers – the RICS Valuation Standards’ assumption. Financing remains difficult and sellers are reluctant to crystallise lower prices.
“If the ‘thieves’ are the funded or equity based opportunist buyers and the ‘jokers’ are the owners who won’t sell, there is no ‘way out’ of this impasse – yet.”
OK. But that doesn’t really warrant much comment. I think we’re fast reaching the point where inserting a quote of Dylan’s is no more remarkable than inserting a quote from Shakespeare. What’s worthy of comment, to me, is instead this bit of editorializing on the story from the Guardian:
Few bosses make reference to the lyrics of popular songs in their comments, despite many of them being members of what might be described as the rock’n'roll generation. Choosing Dylan, who is known for his antipathy to big business, is therefore a radical departure for the head of a FTSE 250 business.
Bob Dylan is known for his antipathy to big business?!? Tell that to certain fans who have started referring to “Dylan, Inc.” to characterize the very large number of commercial offerings and ventures that bear his name these days. From the many ways in which his music is packaged and sold, to all those limited edition “Drawn Blank” prints and his recent deal with Hohner, Dylan has enough fingers poking into enough pies to inspire envy from the board of, oh, say, Halliburton (or insert your own demonic symbol of devouring capitalism here). And the offhand way in which the writer above refers to Dylan’s supposed hostility to big business is even more mind-boggling when you remember that Bob has been involved in not just one but two high profile advertising campaigns in recent years: for Victoria’s Secret and for Cadillac. It just goes to show that it doesn’t matter what he does — to some Bob Dylan will always represent what they want him to represent, and nothing more.
On a somewhat similar note, there are these lines from a review of Dylan’s recent show in Connecticut:
Opening with the vintage “Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat,” Dylan’s poetic lyrics shined on the landmark 1963 protest song “The Times They Are A-Changin” that can rival anything by Woody Guthrie or Pete Seeger.
For only about the trillionth time: Can anybody tell me what is being protested by The Times They Are A-Changin’? And in the forty-five odd years that Dylan has been singing it, have we made much progress in overcoming whatever the “it” is that is being protested against? Is “the slow one” now fast; is “the first one” now last? Or is it at least getting close? I’d sure appreciate some enlightenment.
It reminds me that in the wake of Dylan’s show last week in Brooklyn, a number of reviewers remarked on his performance of both Masters Of War and John Brown, to the effect that he was commenting on the times and aiming these songs at the presumably sympathetic and anti-war New York audience. Well, I think that anyone who follows Dylan’s set lists knows that the only thing we can tell for sure is that Dylan plays whatever the heck he likes, whether he’s playing some theater in Croatia or a sports arena in Ohio. He doesn’t seem to alter the tunes to suit the audience. And those two songs are songs he likes to play. A look back at when he’s played them will reveal that he sings them in times of war and in times of what some people call peace; during times when the United States is governed by evil murderin’ Republicans and during times when the United States is governed by saintly, peace-loving Democrats. And I’ve written about the various things that I think are going on in the song John Brown on another occasion. As for Masters Of War: Dylan himself has famously said it has nothing to with being anti-war as such, and you can make of all that what you will (that whole argument has been covered too often here, although I do like this story on the subject).
Anyhow, in the case of these continuing mainstream media characterizations of Bob Dylan as a raging anti-war, big-business-hating, anti-establishment ne’er do well, it’s a situation where the times could certainly use some changin’, but, as usual, we are best advised not to hold our breath.
…
Speaking of harmonicas, don’t miss the quite funny and to-the-point exclusive interview with Dylan on the Hohner website.
…
Election note: The Saddleback forum on Saturday night was clearly a huge event in the framing of this presidential election — bigger than most people anticipated. In particular, McCain’s performance gave many in the conservative base reasons to want to go out and vote for him, rather than just going out and voting against the Democratic party’s nominee. One of the defining questions was on abortion, and Obama’s answer, saying that when a baby obtains human rights was “above my pay grade”, has inspired an avalanche of bad reviews. See Wizbang’s dissection, see Keith Pavlischek’s pithy response; or listen to Mark Hemingway speaking for millions at the Corner:
That spectacularly inept metaphor is going to haunt Obama throughout the rest of the campaign. News flash: There’s not a job on the planet above the pay grade of the President of the United States. If you can’t solve every problem and are humble about it, that’s fine — but you can’t get away with being unsure about the most defining moral issue in politics.
There are ways to evade answering Rick Warren’s question about when human life begins. Other Democrats do evade it, more artfully if not any more honestly. But there is nothing artful about saying it is “above my pay grade,” and such a lousy answer provides additional evidence as to why Obama may be very justifiably nervous about debating John McCain.
No sooner, however, had this groundswell of pro-McCain feeling erupted from the “Christian-right” base than his campaign started putting out feelers about how he might pick a pro-choice VP. At the time of writing, it looks like the feelers have been retracted, appropriately chastened by the reaction. However, I have no idea what is really going to happen on this issue. If there’s anything that we can be sure about when it comes to John McCain, it’s that he has a little bit of the devil in him, and he would probably really enjoy surprising people with his VP pick. Six months ago, I wrote in this space that McCain’s VP pick could be the deal-breaker or the deal-maker, and I haven’t changed my opinion one iota. With McCain’s age, the possibility that his VP pick could be at the head of the ticket in 2012 is a very strong one, and it figures high in the minds of many conservative voters. McCain, with his historic squishiness on various issues, is one thing, for four years in the presidency. But if he seems to be trying to redefine the Republican party by picking someone further to the alleged center than he is, with a view to that person being his successor, then there will be big trouble. Saddleback or no Saddleback. Saying the right words is good. But doing the right thing is of overwhelming importance.
…
I expect to be mostly out of circulation for the next six or seven days — returning in time for the must-see-TV that will likely be the Democratic convention. But who knows?
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Sunday, August 17, 2008
Good news! ...2:13 pm
From the close of the show last Tuesday night in Prospect Park, Brooklyn, here’s a clip of Bob Dylan and his band doing Blowin’ in the Wind.
I really love the arrangement of this song which Dylan has adopted of late. For a song that is often performed by others with a mournful air, or heard as some kind of lamentation or protest, this rendition is strikingly joyous. Exhilaratingly so, in fact. Now, Dylan has done “up” versions of the song before, certainly — such as the live version which ends the film “Masked and Anonymous” — but the joyousness of this version crosses right over into jocularity. The bounciness of the accompaniment — including the guitar and Dylan’s own organ playing — is downright humorous to my ears.
There have always been multiple ways of hearing Blowin’ in the Wind, with its litany of questions, its roll-call of injustice, and its seemingly inscrutable refrain. Some have heard it and have sung it, of-course, as a call to action — to take on an injustice of the day. It can also be heard as a meditation on the persistence and inevitability of injustice in this world, with the singer placing his hope only in the justice of a world to come.
It seems to me that with the way in which Bob Dylan is rendering this song these days, another way of hearing it comes to the fore. When he sings here that “the answer is blowin’ in the wind,” it doesn’t mean that the answer is lost, is out of reach or is unknowable. In this way of hearing it, the refrain is instead a joyful proclamation. The answer is found. “The answer is blowin’ in the wind! The answer is right there, right here, blowin’ in the wind right in front of our faces! Isn’t it hilarious? Isn’t it great?”
Indeed.
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Saturday, August 16, 2008
McCain and Obama at Saddleback with Rick Warren ...10:07 pm
Home run for John McCain. Simple as that. A grand slam, in fact. Still, there’s a lot of baseball to be played.
Barack Obama, going first in taking questions from Warren, chose to be expansive in his responses and to avoid the nub of certain issues. John McCain gave shorter and more direct answers, and would have allayed the worries of many Christian conservatives tonight as to the level of his commitment on core principles. And that was crucial ground for him to secure.
(Clips and a link to the transcript here.)
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R.I.P. Ronnie Drew ...5:19 pm
Ireland’s Ronnie Drew, famous as a singer and founding member of the Dubliners, has died at age 73.
He can be seen in action in this YouTube clip, singing McAlpine’s Fusiliers.
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Friday, August 15, 2008
The real acid test ...5:16 pm
When I saw this headline, I wondered what it could possibly mean: “Drugs like LSD and Ecstasy ‘could help terminally ill’.” Turns out (drat!) that it doesn’t mean that those hits of acid you may have swallowed when you were young and irresponsible will help you live longer.
The first clinical trial involving LSD since the 1970s began in Switzerland in June with the aim of using “psychedelic psychotherapy” to help terminally ill patients come to terms with imminent death to improve the quality of their remaining life.
Eight subjects will receive 200 micrograms of LSD - enough to induce a powerful psychedelic experience - and four will be given 20 micrograms. They will then be assessed for anxiety levels, quality of life and pain levels.
[...]
The active ingredient in magic mushrooms, psilocybin, has shown promising results in helping people who are dying from cancer.
[...]
Prof Roland Griffiths, who published the study, told the Guardian: “The working hypothesis is that if psilocybin or LSD can occasion these experiences of great personal meaning and spiritual significance … then it would allow [patients with terminal illnesses] hopefully to face their own demise completely differently - to restructure some of the psychological angst that so often occurs concurrently with severe disease.”
Well, we’ve got pills for anxiety, pills for depression, pills for short attention span; now pills for finding the meaning of life (and death)?
It occurs to me that the first place where you might be able to drop acid and have it all covered by insurance might well be the state of Oregon. In case you missed the story from a few weeks ago: “Oregon Offers Terminal Patients Doctor-Assisted Suicide Instead of Medical Care.”
Some terminally ill patients in Oregon who turned to their state for health care were denied treatment and offered doctor-assisted suicide instead, a proposal some experts have called a “chilling” corruption of medical ethics.
Since the spread of his prostate cancer, 53-year-old Randy Stroup of Dexter, Ore., has been in a fight for his life. Uninsured and unable to pay for expensive chemotherapy, he applied to Oregon’s state-run health plan for help.
Lane Individual Practice Association (LIPA), which administers the Oregon Health Plan in Lane County, responded to Stroup’s request with a letter saying the state would not cover Stroup’s pricey treatment, but would pay for the cost of physician-assisted suicide.
Hey Mr. Stroup: tune in, turn on, drop dead.
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Jerry Wexler dies at age 91 ...2:50 pm
The legendary producer and music biz figure Jerry Wexler has died. See the AP story here.
Jerry Wexler, along with Barry Beckett, produced Dylan’s Slow Train Coming and Saved albums, of-course.
On YouTube, you can watch an interesting interview with Jerry Wexler, on the subject of his work with Bob Dylan, in three parts. These are outtakes from the film “Gotta Serve Somebody: The Gospel Songs of Bob Dylan.”
See clips below. (more…)
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- Serving Somebody
- What the hell are you? (1986 interview for Australian television)
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Bobs and ends ...11:22 am
Bob Dylan’s Tell Tale Signs: The Bootleg Series Volume 8, which will be released in October, is now available for pre-order through Amazon.com.
The 2-CD set is currently priced at $18.99; the 3-CD set, with limited edition doodads, is a mere $152.99. There’s also a vinyl set for $92.13.
The free mp3 sample being offered through BobDylan.com is Dreamin’ Of You, of-course. There’s been various evaluations of it out there, ranging from the rapturous to the dismissive. It’s an outtake from the Time Out Of Mind recording sessions. Personally, I’m glad that Dylan and Daniel Lanois went with a different sound for the actual album. This track sounds to me a little bit like an outtake from some kind of U2 record. I think Bob’s singing is great, but I think he ultimately turned many of the lines from this song into something much better with Standing In the Doorway. So, in other words, I think this one is very appropriately an outtake. (Maybe when I hear it in full resolution on the actual release I’ll like it better — who knows.)
…
So, Bob Dylan played a rare gig in Brooklyn, New York a few days ago, at the bandshell in Prospect Park. There’s a zillion reviews of it out there. That’s my part of the country, but I’ll confess I passed on getting tickets to this event. What was it Bob said to the Times earlier this year? “Poverty is demoralizing.” With the various extra charges added on, just getting tickets for myself and my significant other to sit on the grass inside the venue would have been pushing $200. And I alway figured that we could get away with doing what we and many hundreds of other people did do on the night, and that is sit outside the venue barriers and just listen.
The sound wasn’t ideal, but there’s many gigs for which I’ve bought seats where I could say that too. Bob and the band were very tight. The Levee’s Gonna Break was a scorching standout. And one major plus of not being ticket holders was that we could take along our dog Billie. It was her first Dylan gig. (And her last, unless something like this happens again.) She enjoyed it, but waited in vain for her favorite tune.
…
Thanks much to Francis Beckwith for the e-mail regarding his forthcoming book, “Return to Rome,” in which he writes about his own journey of faith from Catholicism to Protestant evangelicalism and then back to Catholicism. Among the chapters and subheadings in the book are familiar phrases such as “Property of Jesus,” “Tangled Up In Blue,” and “I Hear the Ancient Footsteps.” And in it he also writes about attending one of Bob Dylan’s famous gospel shows in San Francisco.
Part of the blurb on the book from Amazon:
What does it mean to be evangelical? What does it mean to be Catholic? Can one consider oneself both simultaneously? Francis Beckwith has wrestled with these questions personally and professionally. He was baptized a Catholic, but his faith journey led him to Protestant evangelicalism. He became a philosophy professor at Baylor University and president of the Evangelical Theological Society (ETS). And then, in 2007, after much prayer, counsel, and consideration, Beckwith decided to return to the Catholic church and step down as ETS president. This provocative book details Beckwith’s journey, focusing on his internal dialogue between the Protestant theology he embraced for most of his adult life and Catholicism.
Professor Beckwith also wrote a fascinating essay on Dylan called “Busy Being Born Again: Bob Dylan’s Christian Philosophy.” It was included in the 2006 book “Bob Dylan & Philosophy: It’s Alright Ma, I’m Only Thinking.” You can download a pdf of that essay from this page at his website.
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